Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Varzim SC (Póvoa de Varzim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Varzim		Feirense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.35	3	2.75	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3
	2.35	3.05	2.9
	2.45	2.99	3.04
	2.4	2.9	3	Watch
	2.34	3.04	2.91	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.54)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	2.92 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
38.5%

Draw
30.2%

Feirense
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Varzim - Feirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Feirense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 1.

Varzim in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Feirense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Varzim won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.22	Varzim - Felgueiras	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.09.22	Varzim - Vila Meã	2:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
04.09.22	Anadia - Varzim	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Varzim - Fafe	1:0 ✺
19.08.22	Braga B - Varzim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWT
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
19.09.22	Feirense - Oliveirense	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	BSAD - Feirense	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Feirense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	Vilafranquense - Feirense	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Feirense - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.22	Varzim - Feirense	0:0
03.10.21	Feirense - Varzim	2:1
17.04.21	Feirense - Varzim	1:0
19.12.20	Varzim - Feirense	0:2
09.11.19	Feirense - Varzim	1:2
13.04.16	Feirense - Varzim	1:0
02.12.15	Varzim - Feirense	0:1

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