Match Info

Date: 21 February 2022, Monday


	Estrela da Amadora		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.35	3	3
	2.2	3.05	3.2
	2.36	3	3
	2.46	3.12	3.26
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.32	3.2	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.76)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.1 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
40.2%

Draw
30%

Varzim
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22.5%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrela da Amadora's form might have worsened.

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+24%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela da Amadora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estrela da Amadora - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

The competitors look crappy now.

Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Estrela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
14.02.22	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
08.02.22	Estrela da Amadora - Académica Coimbra	1:3 ✺
28.01.22	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
23.01.22	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:0 ✺
18.01.22	Mafra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWT
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.22	Varzim - Farense	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Varzim - Leixões	1:1 ✺
08.02.22	Varzim - Nacional	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Chaves - Varzim	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Rio Ave - Varzim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.09.21	Varzim - Estrela da Amadora	3:1

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