Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 10

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Vasco da Gama U20		Fortaleza U20

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.78	3.6	3.85
	1.8	3.77	4.08
	1.78	3.67	3.95	Watch
	1.82	3.63	3.94
	1.78	3.6	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.56)	3.63 ↓ (3.9)	3.91 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama U20
51.3%

Draw
25.3%

Fortaleza U20
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

23.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama U20's form might have worsened.

Fortaleza U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza U20 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Vasco da Gama U20 - Fortaleza U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Leo Jaco ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, GB ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Leo Jaco ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 4 - 1, GB ⚽,
72', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Vasco U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vasco U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama U20
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
10.05.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Resende U20	4:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
07.05.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.05.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - São Paulo U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTTW
- Fortaleza U20
Brasileiro U20
07.05.25	Fortaleza U20 - Cuiabá U20	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Corinthians U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:3 ✺
23.04.25	Fortaleza U20 - Juventude U20	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Fortaleza U20 - Atletico GO U20	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Grêmio U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
26.09.21	Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:2

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