Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Municipal da Vidigueira (Vidigueira) 🌤️ ...


	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira		Atlético da Malveira

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.4	1.65
	5.09	3.46	1.6
	5.70	3.65	1.55	Watch
	4.99	3.4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↓ (5.64)	3.48 ↓ (3.61)	1.61 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
17.7%

Draw
26.1%

Atlético da Malveira
56.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16%

25%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

24.1%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Atlético da Malveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Vasco da Gama is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Malveira is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Malveira is considered a favorite.

We predict that Malveira will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lagoa	0:4 ✺
26.10.25	Moncarapachense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Comércio e Indústria	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Serpa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	São João de Ver - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Atlético da Malveira - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Comércio e Indústria - Atlético da Malveira	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético da Malveira - Serpa	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alcochetense - Atlético da Malveira	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	União Lamas - Atlético da Malveira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Atlético da Malveira

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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