Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 26

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.65	3.2	2.45
	2.47	3.1	2.64
	2.48	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.96)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	2.56 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
36.1%

Draw
28.6%

Lusitano GC
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.8%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

28.5%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama Vidigueira's performance.

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitano GC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama Vidigueira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitano GC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Davou S. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Lopes David D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 3, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
63', 0 - 4, Lopes David D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Lusitano GC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vasco da Gama won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco da Gama won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.03.24	Imortal - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Serpa	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Moncarapachense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Real SC	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Louletano - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWTWL
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.03.24	Lusitano GC - Elvas	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Lusitano GC - Imortal	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Serpa - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Lusitano GC - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Real SC - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.12.23	Lusitano GC - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Lusitano GC - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:3
23.10.22	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lusitano GC	2:2

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