Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Elvas

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	2.65	4	2.11
	2.8	4.09	2.06
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	2.68	3.88	2.14
	2.65	4	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (1.93)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)	2.1 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
32.2%

Draw
24.4%

Elvas
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lusitano GC's form might have worsened.

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano GC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lusitano GC - Elvas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lusitano GC (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Lusitano GC (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lusitano GC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Enoh L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, Roger ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Lusitano GC is Qualified for Liga 3

Lusitano GC has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Elvas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.05.25	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Fatima - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Elvas - Lusitano GC	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Lusitano GC - Fatima	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.05.25	Elvas - Fatima	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Amora - Elvas	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Elvas - Lusitano GC	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Fatima - Elvas	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Elvas - Amora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
11.05.25	Elvas - Lusitano GC	1:4
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.03.24	Lusitano GC - Elvas	1:1
10.12.23	Elvas - Lusitano GC	1:1

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