Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		Pineto

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.35	2.82	2.01
	3.54	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)	2.91 ↑ (2.82)	2.06 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
25.9%

Draw
30.7%

Pineto
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

30.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

29.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vigor Senigallia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Vigor Senigallia - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Pineto will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
29.01.23	Nuova Florida - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Vigor Senigallia - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Sambenedettese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLWW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
29.01.23	Pineto - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Matese - Pineto	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Pineto - Fano	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.01.23	Termoli - Pineto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW

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