Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 23

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Tolentino		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.87	2.4
	2.65	2.95	2.5
	2.57	2.86	2.39
	3.05	2.9	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.89)	2.9 ↑ (2.81)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolentino
32.4%

Draw
30.8%

Vigor Senigallia
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

31.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

31%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Tolentino - Vigor Senigallia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs)).

Tolentino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vigor Senigallia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tolentino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
29.01.23	Tolentino - Matese	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Fano - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Tolentino - Termoli	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Vastese - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
21.12.22	Roma City - Tolentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLT
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.02.23	Vigor Senigallia - Pineto	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Nuova Florida - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Vigor Senigallia - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTLW

Tolentino - Vigor Senigallia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide