Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday


	Vegalta Sendai		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.2
	3.37	3.42	2.28
	3.3	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.32	3.38	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.23)	3.34 ↓ (3.43)	2.2 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
29.1%

Draw
28.1%

Kashiwa Reysol
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

20%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vegalta Sendai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kashiwa Reysol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	10.3%	75.9%

Vegalta Sendai - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Sendai will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to J2 League and 12).

Sendai has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Kashiwa has a small chance of qualify for acl (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Sendai is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kashiwa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kashiwa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Sendai won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Sendai won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J League Cup
28.04.21	Vegalta Sendai - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:5 ✺
Japan J1 League
24.04.21	Consadole Sapporo - Vegalta Sendai	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.04.21	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
17.04.21	Yokohama FC - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Vegalta Sendai - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLWTT
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J League Cup
28.04.21	Yokohama FC - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
24.04.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokushima Vortis	5:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.04.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
17.04.21	Oita Trinita - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
11.04.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
01.12.20	Vegalta Sendai - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2
26.07.20	Kashiwa Reysol - Vegalta Sendai	5:1
Japan J League Cup
22.05.19	Kashiwa Reysol - Vegalta Sendai	1:1
10.04.19	Vegalta Sendai - Kashiwa Reysol	2:1
Japan J1 League
11.08.18	Kashiwa Reysol - Vegalta Sendai	0:2
24.02.18	Vegalta Sendai - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0
30.07.17	Vegalta Sendai - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1

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