Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Oita Trinita		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.5	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.12
	3.61	3.32	2.22
	3.6	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.58	3.32	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.51)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	2.11 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
26.7%

Draw
28.8%

Kashiwa Reysol
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oita Trinita that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kashiwa Reysol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oita Trinita - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to J2 League and 16).

Oita Trinita has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Kashiwa has a very small chance of qualify for acl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oita Trinita is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kashiwa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J1 League
11.04.21	Oita Trinita - Nagoya Grampus	0:3 ✺
07.04.21	Vissel Kobe - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Kawasaki Frontale - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
27.03.21	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
21.03.21	Oita Trinita - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
11.04.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
07.04.21	Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Yokohama FC - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
27.03.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
21.03.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
09.12.20	Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita	1:1
23.08.20	Oita Trinita - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0
Japan J League Cup
12.08.20	Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita	3:1
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.17	Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita	2:0
Japan J1 League
10.08.13	Oita Trinita - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0
30.03.13	Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita	3:1

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