Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Velarde		Bezana

	1	X	2
	6.2	4.1	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 (6.2)	4.1 (4.1)	1.48 (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velarde
14.9%

Draw
22.6%

Bezana
62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

21.9%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Velarde have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Bezana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Ceballos A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Zorrilla Reigadas A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

Velarde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bezana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Velarde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bezana is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Velarde won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Velarde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velarde CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
31.03.24	Naval Reinosa - Velarde	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Velarde - Castro	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Atlético Albericia - Velarde	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Velarde - Laredo	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Velarde - Sámano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLLT
- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.03.24	Bezana - Sámano	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Bezana - Cartes	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Tropezón - Bezana	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Bezana - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.11.23	Bezana - Velarde	2:0
27.04.19	Velarde - Bezana	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.10.17	Bezana - Velarde	0:0

Velarde - Bezana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide