Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 17

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Velbert		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	4.76	4.09	1.65
	4.77	4	1.65
	4	3.9	1.62
	4.75	4.1	1.6
	4.7	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4.05)	4.03 ↓ (4.15)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
19.9%

Draw
22.9%

Alemannia Aachen
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

22.3%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

22.1%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-2%)

Velbert - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Velbert is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aachen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Aachen is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Velbert won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Velbert won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
18.11.23	Wiedenbrück - Velbert	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Velbert - Paderborn II	2:2 ✺
03.11.23	Wegberg-Beeck - Velbert	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Velbert - Köln II	1:5 ✺
21.10.23	Rödinghausen - Velbert	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLL
- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
18.11.23	Alemannia Aachen - Düren	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Alemannia Aachen - Wiedenbrück	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Bocholt - Alemannia Aachen	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Alemannia Aachen - Paderborn II	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
08.04.16	Alemannia Aachen - Velbert	2:3
24.10.15	Velbert - Alemannia Aachen	1:0
10.05.14	Velbert - Alemannia Aachen	2:2
16.11.13	Alemannia Aachen - Velbert	2:1

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