Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 17

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Velbert		Siegen

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.35	1.48
	5.78	4.48	1.48
	6.03	4.69	1.41	Watch
	5.97	4.25	1.43
	6	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↓ (6.03)	4.45 ↓ (4.69)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
15.7%

Draw
20.7%

Siegen
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

19.6%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

18.4%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Siegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Velbert - Siegen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Siegen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Mockschan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 2 - 0, Machtemes M. ⚽,
90+6', Plath L. 🟥,
90+8', 2 - 1, Dej A. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, Kader C. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Velbert is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Siegen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Velbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Siegen is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Velbert won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Velbert won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
15.11.25	Paderborn II - Velbert	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Velbert - Wiedenbrück	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Köln II - Velbert	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Velbert - Schalke 04 II	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Velbert	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Regionalliga West
22.11.25	Siegen - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Bonner - Siegen	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Siegen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gütersloh - Siegen	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Siegen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.19	Velbert - Siegen	3:2
22.07.16	Velbert - Siegen	1:1
German Regionalliga West
05.04.14	Siegen - Velbert	3:2
06.10.13	Velbert - Siegen	1:2
09.04.13	Siegen - Velbert	4:1

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