Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 4

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano (Rio Claro)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol
Israel	Sport 2
World	Fanatiz


	Velo Clube		Santos

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.75
	4.9	3.54	1.79
	4.88	3.5	1.74	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.75
	4.61	3.44	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.36)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
19.7%

Draw
27%

Santos
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

26.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Velo Clube - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Velo Clube will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Santos will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 3. Rafael Ribeiro 5. Marcelo Augusto 4. Mancha 2. Yuri Ferraz 7. Pedro Favela 8. Leo Baiano 11. Jefferson Nem 6. Leo Campos 10. Felipinho 9. Daniel Amorim	1. Gabriel Brazao (G) 4. Joao Pedro Chermont 2. Luisao 6. Luan Peres 3. Souza 8. Rincon T. (C) 5. Patrick 7. Miguelito 10. Joao Schmidt 11. Gabriel Bontempo 9. Luca Meirelles
Substitutes
22. Caio Bolonhin (G) 18. Carlos Manuel 21. Cauari 15. Itambe 13. Julio Vaz 14. Luan Sales 19. Lucas Duni 12. Pablo (G) 17. Pedro Cacho 16. Rennan Siqueira 20. Sillas	15. Diego Pituca 20. Escobar G. 21. Godoy L. 22. Guilherme 17. Guilherme Henrique 16. Hyan 13. Joao Basso 12. Joao Paulo (G) 18. Kevyson 23. Mateus Xavier 19. Tiquinho Soares 14. Ze Ivaldo
Coaches
Guilherme Alves	Caixinha P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Mancha 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Patrick ↓, Guilherme ↑,
46', Mancha ↓, Itambe ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Daniel Amorim ⚽,
61', Miguelito ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
61', Luca Meirelles ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
61', Joao Schmidt ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
66', Felipinho ↓, Carlos Manuel ↑,
66', Souza ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
73', Leo Baiano 🟨,
79', Leo Campos ↓, Rennan Siqueira ↑,
79', Jefferson Nem ↓, Sillas ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Daniel Amorim ⚽, Sillas (A),
90+1', Rafael Ribeiro ↓, Julio Vaz ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Godoy L. ⚽,
90+5', Itambe 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Corinthians - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
13.04.24	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLTW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.25	Santos - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Ponte Preta - Santos	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Santos - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	Sport Recife - Santos	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Santos - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLL

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