Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 17

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball, ZhiBo8
Portugal	Canal 11
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 2
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sport Recife		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.87
	2.48	3.1	2.88
	2.63	3.25	2.94
	1.60	3.90	5.52	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.9
	2.62	3.18	2.89	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.65)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	3.21 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
39.5%

Draw
30.1%

Santos
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Sport Recife - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Santos will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Recife (votes: 2 - 40%). Santos (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Recife (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Recife (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Recife (votes: 4 - 50%). Santos (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel (G) 33. Matheus Alexandre 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 40. Ramon Menezes 16. Igor Carius 14. Rivera C. 58. Ze Lucas 10. Lucas Lima 30. Chrystian Barletta 17. Matheusinho 18. Derik Lacerda	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 3. Joao Basso 14. Luan Peres 33. Souza 8. Rincon T. 5. Joao Schmidt 32. Rollheiser B. 10. Neymar (C) 22. Barreal A. 36. Deivid Washington
Substitutes
20. Atencio R. 22. Caique Franca (G) 52. Caua Berrio 44. Chico 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 19. Hyoran 92. Pablo 7. Paciencia G. 28. Pedro Augusto 9. Ramirez I. 11. Romarinho 6. Silva J.	17. Caballero G. 21. Diego Pituca 31. Escobar G. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 1. Joao Paulo (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 79. Luca Meirelles 25. Luisao 7. Robson Junior 16. Thaciano 9. Tiquinho Soares 6. Ze Rafael
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Xavier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Derik Lacerda ⚽, Chrystian Barletta (A),
29', Lucas Lima 🟨,
38', Ze Lucas 🟨,
40', Escobar G. 🟨,
45+5', Rincon T. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ze Lucas ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
46', Derik Lacerda ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
46', Igor Vinicius ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
46', Deivid Washington ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
46', Souza ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
63', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Romarinho ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Caballero G. (Own goal),
78', Lucas Lima ↓, Hyoran ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Gabriel Bontempo ⚽, Tiquinho Soares (A),
82', Barreal A. 🟨,
83', Matheusinho ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
86', Hyoran 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Joao Basso ⚽, Joao Schmidt (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.

Recife has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Hereda (Injury) Oliveira S. (Injury) Pablo (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Santos: Arao W. (Muscle Injury) Gil (Yellow Cards) Guilherme (Injury)

There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Santos: Aderlan (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Recife won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Santos - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 33.24%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A
23.07.25	Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
20.07.25	Sport Recife - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
14.07.25	Juventude - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	Sport Recife - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.25	Mirassol - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
23.07.25	Santos - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Mirassol - Santos	3:0 ✺
16.07.25	Santos - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Santos	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.06.25	Fortaleza - Santos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	Sport Recife - Santos	2:1
02.08.24	Santos - Sport Recife	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
17.10.21	Sport Recife - Santos	0:0
30.06.21	Santos - Sport Recife	0:0
28.11.20	Santos - Sport Recife	4:2
20.08.20	Sport Recife - Santos	0:1
02.12.18	Sport Recife - Santos	2:1

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