Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 33

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Baroni N. (Ita)


	Venezia		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.33
	1.8	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.86	3.55	5.07
	1.83	3.44	5.07
	1.65	3.75	4.75
	1.73	3.82	4.71	Watch
	1.79	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.6 ↓ (3.76)	4.66 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
53.3%

Draw
26.3%

Brescia
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.2%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

27.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Venezia - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joronen J. (G) 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 33. Sverko M. 27. Candela A. 6. Busio G. 8. Tessmann T. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 19. Bjarkason B. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 9. Gytkjaer C.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 15. Cistana A. 14. Mangraviti M. 18. Jallow A. 25. Bisoli D. 4. Paghera F. 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 23. Galazzi N. 11. Moncini G.
Substitutes
15. Altare G. 38. Andersen M. K. 12. Bruno (G) 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 23. Grandi M. (G) 18. Jajalo M. 24. Lella N. 13. Modolo M. 99. Olivieri M. 10. Pierini N. 7. Zampano F.	30. Avella M. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 7. Bjarnason B. 16. Cartano R. 6. Fares M. 31. Ferro M. 21. Fogliata R. 3. Huard M. 32. Papetti A. 5. Van de Looi T.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Tessmann T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paghera F. ↓, Fares M. ↑,
47', Galazzi N. 🟨,
51', Sverko M. 🟨,
55', Fares M. 🟨,
59', Galazzi N. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
59', Mangraviti M. ↓, Papetti A. ↑,
66', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
66', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
76', Besaggio M. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
78', Bjarkason B. ↓, Altare G. ↑,
78', Idzes J. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
83', Cistana A. ↓, Van de Looi T. ↑,
86', Busio G. ↓, Jajalo M. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Tessmann T. ⚽, Lella N. (A),
90+3', Jajalo M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 0.

Recent matches Venezia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brescia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brescia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Venezia is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Venezia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
07.04.24	Ascoli - Venezia	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Venezia - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
15.03.24	Palermo - Venezia	0:3 ✺
10.03.24	Venezia - Bari	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Como - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
06.04.24	Brescia - Pisa	3:1 ✺
01.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Brescia - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Parma - Brescia	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Brescia - Palermo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.09.23	Brescia - Venezia	0:0
11.03.23	Venezia - Brescia	1:1
22.10.22	Brescia - Venezia	1:1
Club Friendly
04.09.21	Brescia - Venezia	4:0
Italian Serie B
06.03.21	Venezia - Brescia	0:1
21.11.20	Brescia - Venezia	2:2
05.04.19	Brescia - Venezia	2:0

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