Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 32

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)


	Ascoli		Venezia

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.47	3.11	2.36
	3.55	3.14	2.31
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.35	3.24	2.26	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.46)	3.16 ↓ (3.26)	2.28 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
28.5%

Draw
30%

Venezia
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ascoli - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Venezia will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 3. Mantovani V. 55. Bellusci G. 14. Quaranta D. 23. Falzerano M. 73. Masini P. 18. Di Tacchio F. 8. Giovane S. 7. Zedadka K. 29. Duris D. 99. Rodriguez P.	1. Joronen J. (G) 30. Svoboda M. 4. Idzes J. 33. Sverko M. 27. Candela A. 6. Busio G. 8. Tessmann T. 38. Andersen M. K. 7. Zampano F. 9. Gytkjaer C. 99. Olivieri M.
Substitutes
17. Adjapong C. 10. Caligara F. 15. D'Uffizi S. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 20. Milanese T. 96. Rossi E. 95. Sciammarella L. (G) 11. Streng J. 44. Tavcar A. 16. Vaisanen S. 41. Valzania L. 2. Viviano E. (G)	15. Altare G. 19. Bjarkason B. 12. Bruno (G) 21. Cheryshev D. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 18. Jajalo M. 24. Lella N. 13. Modolo M. 10. Pierini N. 31. Ullmann M.
Coaches
Carrera M.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Giovane S. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
57', Rodriguez P. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
60', Idzes J. 🟨,
63', Andersen M. K. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
63', Busio G. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
69', Olivieri M. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
72', Duris D. ↓, Valzania L. ↑,
78', Falzerano M. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
78', Masini P. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
86', Ellertsson M. E. 🟨,
88', Sverko M. ↓, Altare G. ↑,
90+2', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
90+6', Bellusci G. 🟥,
90+10', Quaranta D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Venezia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Spezia - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ascoli - Lecco	4:1 ✺
11.03.24	Sampdoria - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Ascoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Ascoli - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTT
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Venezia - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
15.03.24	Palermo - Venezia	0:3 ✺
10.03.24	Venezia - Bari	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Como - Venezia	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Venezia - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.12.23	Venezia - Ascoli	3:1
18.03.23	Ascoli - Venezia	0:1
29.10.22	Venezia - Ascoli	0:2
Coppa Italia
07.08.22	Venezia - Ascoli	2:3
Italian Serie B
13.03.21	Ascoli - Venezia	1:1
28.11.20	Venezia - Ascoli	2:1
26.06.20	Venezia - Ascoli	2:1

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