Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport


	Parma		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.75	Watch
	1.61	3.8	5.25
	1.65	3.75	5	Watch
	1.66	3.88	5.8
	1.67	3.88	5.8
	1.53	3.9	6
	1.64	3.92	5.36	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	3.83 ↓ (3.91)	5.55 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
58.2%

Draw
24.8%

Brescia
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Parma - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 4. Balogh B. 7. Benedyczak A. 13. Bonny A. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 77. Di Chiara G. 8. Estevez N. 27. Hernani 98. Man D. 28. Mihaila V. 3. Osorio Y.	30. Avella M. (G) 28. Adorni D. 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 25. Bisoli D. 29. Borrelli G. 24. Dickmann L. 23. Galazzi N. 18. Jallow A. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.
Substitutes
11. Begic T. 10. Bernabe A. 9. Charpentier G. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 64. Cyprien W. 21. Partipilo A. 19. Sohm S. 22. Turk M. (G) 30. Valenti L. 47. Zagaritis V.	26. Bertagnoli M. 7. Bjarnason B. 16. Cartano R. 15. Cistana A. 12. Cortese S. (G) 6. Fares M. 31. Ferro M. 3. Huard M. 14. Mangraviti M. 11. Moncini G. 27. Olzer G. 5. Van de Looi T.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Maran R.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 3.

Parma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brescia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Parma to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Parma won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
02.03.24	Ternana - Parma	1:3 ✺
27.02.24	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Como - Parma	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Parma - Pisa	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Cittadella - Parma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTWW
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
02.03.24	Brescia - Palermo	4:2 ✺
27.02.24	Ascoli - Brescia	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Brescia - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Como - Brescia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Brescia - Parma	0:2
07.05.23	Parma - Brescia	2:0
12.12.22	Brescia - Parma	0:2
11.04.22	Brescia - Parma	1:0
01.12.21	Parma - Brescia	0:1
Italian Serie A
25.07.20	Brescia - Parma	1:2
22.12.19	Parma - Brescia	1:1

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