Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 18

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)


	Venezia		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.25
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.59	4.15	6.43
	1.6	4.01	6.43
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.57	4.15	5.45	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)	4.06 ↓ (4.06)	5.69 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
60.2%

Draw
23.2%

Lecco
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

23%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Venezia - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: Venezia will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joronen J. (G) 27. Candela A. 15. Altare G. 33. Sverko M. 7. Zampano F. 38. Andersen M. K. 8. Tessmann T. 24. Lella N. 10. Pierini N. 9. Gytkjaer C. 17. Johnsen D.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 21. Crociata G. 8. Sersanti A. 27. Ionita A. 32. Lepore F. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 12. Bruno (G) 60. Busato L. 6. Busio G. 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 18. Jajalo M. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 30. Svoboda M. 31. Ullmann M.	80. Agostinelli V. 13. Battistini M. 68. Boci B. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 73. Di Stefano L. 9. Eusepi U. 96. Galli G. 7. Giudici L. 34. Marrone L. 18. Pinzauti L. 22. Saracco U. (G) 11. Tordini M.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Bonazzoli E.

Preview

Recent matches Venezia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lecco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Venezia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
16.12.23	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Cremonese - Venezia	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Venezia - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Bari - Venezia	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.11.23	Venezia - Koper	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
17.12.23	Lecco - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Sampdoria - Lecco	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Lecco - Bari	1:0 ✺
28.11.23	Como - Lecco	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Cremonese - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWTL

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