Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lecco		Bari

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.75	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.88	3.13	2.77
	2.89	3.14	2.76
	2.88	3.2	2.3
	2.74	3.25	2.57	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.81)	3.17 ↑ (3.16)	2.58 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
33.5%

Draw
29.8%

Bari
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	50%	40.9%

Lecco - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Bari will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Saracco U. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 27. Ionita A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 21. Crociata G. 32. Lepore F. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	22. Brenno (G) 93. Dorval M. 6. Di Cesare V. 23. Vicari F. 31. Ricci G. 4. Maita M. 8. Benali A. 44. Acampora G. 20. Sibilli G. 9. Nasti M. 11. Achik I.
Substitutes
80. Agostinelli V. 13. Battistini M. 68. Boci B. 12. Bonadeo L. (G) 73. Di Stefano L. 20. Donati F. 9. Eusepi U. 96. Galli G. 7. Giudici L. 34. Marrone L. 18. Pinzauti L. 11. Tordini M.	49. Aramu M. 10. Bellomo N. 18. Diaw D. 24. Edjouma M. 19. Faggi F. 99. Frabotta G. 26. Koutsoupias I. 5. Matino E. 77. Morachioli G. 38. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 21. Zuzek Z.
Coaches
Bonazzoli E.	Marino P.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lecco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
28.11.23	Como - Lecco	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Cremonese - Lecco	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Lecco - Parma	3:2 ✺
08.11.23	Lecco - Spezia	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Reggiana - Lecco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TLWTT
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Bari - Venezia	0:3 ✺
11.11.23	FeralpiSalò - Bari	3:3 ✺
04.11.23	Bari - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Brescia - Bari	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Bari - Modena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWWT

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