Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 3

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Como		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.66	3.75	5	Watch
	1.69	3.85	5.58
	1.7	3.78	5.58
	1.5	3.9	5.8
	1.65	3.9	5	Watch
	1.62	3.85	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.47)	3.82 ↓ (3.97)	5.3 ↓ (6.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
57.5%

Draw
24.7%

Lecco
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.3%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

22.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Como's form might have worsened.

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

Como - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Lecco will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 3. Sala M. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 28. Abildgaard O. 33. Da Cunha L. 90. Verdi S. 7. Chajia M. 10. Cutrone P.	22. Saracco U. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 27. Ionita A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 8. Sersanti A. 32. Lepore F. 90. Novakovich A. 21. Crociata G.
Substitutes
11. Blanco A. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Cerri A. 9. Gabrielloni A. 44. Ioannou N. 6. Iovine A. 94. Kone B. L. 99. Mustapha S. 32. Rispoli F. 4. Solini M. 80. Vignali L. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	80. Agostinelli V. 13. Battistini M. 68. Boci B. 12. Bonadeo L. (G) 99. Buso N. 73. Di Stefano L. 9. Eusepi U. 96. Galli G. 7. Giudici L. 34. Marrone L. 18. Pinzauti L. 11. Tordini M.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Bonazzoli E.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Como is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lecco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Como is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Como won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Como - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Pisa - Como	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Como - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Parma - Como	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTWL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Cremonese - Lecco	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Lecco - Parma	3:2 ✺
08.11.23	Lecco - Spezia	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Reggiana - Lecco	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Palermo - Lecco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.21	Lecco - Como	4:0
11.10.20	Como - Lecco	0:3
27.10.19	Como - Lecco	1:1
Serie D - Winners stage
22.05.19	Como - Lecco	3:3

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