Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Venezia		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.75
	1.72	3.5	5	Watch
	1.73	3.65	5.65
	1.72	3.65	5.65
	1.7	3.5	4.5
	1.71	3.64	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.55 ↓ (3.77)	5.08 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
54.8%

Draw
26.6%

Ascoli
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

24.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Ascoli aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	4.8%	0%

Venezia - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Venezia will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joronen J. (G) 27. Candela A. 15. Altare G. 13. Modolo M. 7. Zampano F. 6. Busio G. 8. Tessmann T. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Pierini N. 9. Gytkjaer C. 17. Johnsen D.	2. Viviano E. (G) 17. Adjapong C. 33. Botteghin E. 14. Quaranta D. 40. Bayeye B. J. 18. Di Tacchio F. 5. Gnahore E. 54. Falasco N. 73. Masini P. 90. Mendes P. 99. Rodriguez P.
Substitutes
38. Andersen M. K. 19. Bjarkason B. 12. Bruno (G) 60. Busato L. 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 23. Grandi M. (G) 18. Jajalo M. 24. Lella N. 28. Mikaelsson H. 31. Ullmann M.	1. Barosi D. (G) 12. Bolletta L. (G) 15. D'Uffizi S. 8. Giovane S. 3. Haveri K. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 28. Manzari G. 20. Milanese T. 7. Millico V. 96. Rossi E.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Castori F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 2.

Venezia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ascoli is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ascoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Venezia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Venezia to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Venezia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Bari - Venezia	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.11.23	Venezia - Koper	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
10.11.23	Venezia - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Ternana - Venezia	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Venezia - Pisa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Reggiana - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Bari - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Lecco - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.03.23	Ascoli - Venezia	0:1
29.10.22	Venezia - Ascoli	0:2
Coppa Italia
07.08.22	Venezia - Ascoli	2:3
Italian Serie B
13.03.21	Ascoli - Venezia	1:1
28.11.20	Venezia - Ascoli	2:1
26.06.20	Venezia - Ascoli	2:1
02.11.19	Ascoli - Venezia	1:1

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