Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 14

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:00	DirecTV Sports
Australia	11:00	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	20:00	Coteor, Inter Satelital, Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	21:00	SporTV 4
Chile	21:00	Disney+
China	08:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	19:00	Ditu
Croatia	01:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	19:00	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
India	05:30	FanCode, FanCode
North Macedonia	01:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	01:00	VG+
Panama	19:00	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	20:00	HEi
Peru	19:00	America TV, ATV, Latina, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Poland	01:00	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	03:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	03:00	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports Extra 2
Serbia	01:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	01:00	Arena Sport 3
Spain	01:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Ukraine	02:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	21:00	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	20:00	Fanatiz
Venezuela	20:00	Televen, TVES, Venevision
International	00:00	Disney+


	Venezuela		Peru

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.33	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.9
	2.05	3.1	4.2
	2.05	3.11	4.17	Watch
	2.11	3.24	4.31	Watch
	2.07	3.05	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)	3.09 ↓ (3.46)	4.19 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezuela
46.3%

Draw
30.9%

Peru
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Peru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	13.8%	3.4%

Venezuela - Peru Predictions

Users Predictions: Venezuela will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) U. Catolica 14. Aramburu J. Real Sociedad 2. Ferraresi N. Sao Paulo 3. Angel W. EC Juventude 21. Gonzalez A. Emelec 7. Savarino J. Botafogo RJ 6. Herrera Y. Girona 13. Martinez J. Corinthians 10. Soteldo Y. Santos 17. Martinez J. San Jose Earthquakes 23. Rondon S. (C) Pachuca	1. Gallese P. (G) Orlando City 17. Advincula L. Boca Juniors 5. Zambrano C. A. Lima 15. Garces R. A. Lima 4. Lopez M. FC Copenhagen 23. Aquino P. Santos Laguna 13. Tapia R. Leganes 18. Carrillo A. Corinthians 7. Polo A. Universitario de Deportes 9. Paolo Guerrero (C) A. Lima 11. Reyna B. CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Substitutes
19. Anor J. Volos 20. Bello E. U. Catolica 9. Cadiz J. Club Leon 18. Casseres C. Toulouse 12. Contreras J. (G) Barcelona SC 1. Farinez W. (G) Aguilas Doradas 11. Jan Hurtado Gimnasia L.P. 15. Lacava M. Ulsan Hyundai 5. Makoun C. Levski Sofia 4. Mejias J. Athens Kallithea 8. Rincon T. Santos 16. Segovia T. Inter Miami	2. Abram L. Atlanta United 8. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. FBC Melgar 12. Caceda C. (G) FBC Melgar 21. Enriquez D. (G) Sporting Cristal 20. Flores E. Universitario de Deportes 14. Lapadula G. Spezia 3. Noriega E. A. Lima 10. Pena S. PAOK 22. Quevedo K. A. Lima 16. Ramos L. America De Cali 19. Sonne O. Burnley 6. Trauco M. A. Lima
Coaches
Batista F.	Ibanez Holzmann O. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Zambrano C. 🟨,
19', Aquino P. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Rondon S. (Pen),
45', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Martinez J. 🟨,
52', Martinez J. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
62', Reyna B. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
62', Aquino P. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
77', Herrera Y. 🟨,
78', Rondon S. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
78', Herrera Y. ↓, Casseres C. ↑,
78', Martinez J. ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
83', Polo A. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
83', Savarino J. ↓, Mejias J. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezuela won 0.

In this match Venezuela is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Venezuela won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezuela
FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Ecuador - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
Friendly
18.01.25	USA - Venezuela	3:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
19.11.24	Chile - Venezuela	4:2 ✺
14.11.24	Venezuela - Brazil	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Paraguay - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLTL
- Peru
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Peru - Bolivia	3:1 ✺
19.11.24	Argentina - Peru	1:0 ✺
15.11.24	Peru - Chile	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Brazil - Peru	4:0 ✺
11.10.24	Peru - Uruguay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Peru - Venezuela	1:1
16.11.21	Venezuela - Peru	1:2
05.09.21	Peru - Venezuela	1:0
Copa America
27.06.21	Venezuela - Peru	0:1
15.06.19	Venezuela - Peru	0:0
FIFA World Cup
23.03.17	Venezuela - Peru	2:2
24.03.16	Peru - Venezuela	2:2

Venezuela - Peru