Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 10

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha (Brasília)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	FBF Play
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Zapping
Chile	Mega
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Silk Universal
India	Vision+
Israel	Sport 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro SuperSport 1, Astro SuperSport, Sooka
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3
Norway	VG+
Peru	ATV, Latina, Movistar App, Movistar Deportes
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	AUFTV, Cardinal TV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
World	DirecTV Sports, El Canal del Futbol app, Onefootball app, VIX App


	Brazil		Peru

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	15	Watch
	1.19	6.5	15
	1.2	6.5	19	Watch
	1.19	6.8	18.53
	1.19	6.57	18	Watch
	1.2	7.65	20	Watch
	1.2	6.5	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.2)	6.72 ↓ (7.29)	17.79 ↑ (15.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brazil
80.3%

Draw
14.3%

Peru
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.6%

13.2%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brazil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Peru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.7%	4.9%	2.4%

Brazil - Peru Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Brazil will win (votes: 36 - 92.3%). Peru will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brazil: 83.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ederson (G) Manchester City 13. Vanderson Monaco 4. Marquinhos (C) PSG 14. Gabriel Arsenal 16. Abner Lyon 5. Guimaraes B. Newcastle Utd 15. Gerson Flamengo RJ 10. Rodrygo Real Madrid 11. Raphinha Barcelona 20. Savinho Manchester City 19. Jesus I. Botafogo RJ	1. Gallese P. (G) Orlando City 15. Araujo M. Portland Timbers 5. Zambrano C. A. Lima 22. Callens A. AEK 17. Advincula L. Boca Juniors 16. Cartagena W. Orlando City 13. Castillo J. Gil Vicente 10. Pena S. Malmo FF 6. Lopez M. FC Copenhagen 11. Reyna B. CA Belgrano de Cordoba 20. Flores E. Universitario de Deportes
Substitutes
18. Andre Wolves 12. Bento (G) Al Nassr 17. Beraldo L. PSG 2. Danilo Juventus 9. Endrick Real Madrid 3. Fabricio Bruno Flamengo RJ 21. Luiz Henrique Botafogo RJ 22. Martinelli G. Arsenal 8. Matheus Pereira Cruzeiro 7. Pereira A. Fulham 6. Telles A. Botafogo RJ 1. Weverton (G) Palmeiras	2. Abram L. Atlanta United 12. Caceda C. (G) FBC Melgar 14. Calcaterra H. Universitario de Deportes 3. Corzo A. Universitario de Deportes 18. Grimaldo J. Partizan 4. Murrugarra J. Universitario de Deportes 7. Polo A. Universitario de Deportes 8. Quispe Cordova P. A. U.N.A.M.- Pumas 9. Ramos L. Cusco 21. Romero D. (G) Universitario de Deportes 19. Sonne O. Silkeborg
Coaches
Junior D.	Fossati J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Reyna B. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Raphinha (Pen),
45', Gallese P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Castillo J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Raphinha (Pen),
55', Zambrano C. 🟨,
57', Castillo J. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
57', Reyna B. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
68', Cartagena W. 🟨,
69', Rodrygo ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
69', Savinho ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Pereira A. ⚽, Luiz Henrique (A),
73', Advincula L. ↓, Polo A. ↑,
73', Flores E. ↓, Grimaldo J. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Luiz Henrique ⚽, Jesus I. (A),
77', Jesus I. ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
77', Raphinha ↓, Endrick ↑,
77', Pena S. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
79', Guimaraes B. ↓, Andre ↑,
83', Vanderson 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brazil won 5.

In this match Brazil is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Brazil won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:6 (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brazil
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Chile - Brazil	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Brazil - Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Copa America
06.07.24	Uruguay - Brazil	1:0 penalties ✺
02.07.24	Brazil - Colombia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLT
- Peru
FIFA World Cup
11.10.24	Peru - Uruguay	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Ecuador - Peru	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Peru - Colombia	1:1 ✺
Copa America
29.06.24	Argentina - Peru	2:0 ✺
25.06.24	Peru - Canada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
12.09.23	Peru - Brazil	0:1
09.09.21	Brazil - Peru	2:0
Copa America
05.07.21	Brazil - Peru	1:0
17.06.21	Brazil - Peru	4:0
FIFA World Cup
13.10.20	Peru - Brazil	2:4
Friendly
10.09.19	Brazil - Peru	0:1
Copa America
07.07.19	Brazil - Peru	3:1

Brazil - Peru: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide