Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 11

Date: 14 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Rede Globo, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Chilevision, ESPN
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Caracol TV, RCN Television
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Georgia	Silk Universal
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	Universo TV
Peru	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	NBC Universo
Venezuela	Televen, TVES, Venevision
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz, SportsMax App


	Venezuela		Brazil

	1	X	2
	7	3.9	1.53	Watch
	6.75	3.8	1.51
	7	3.95	1.54
	7.32	3.98	1.56
	7.32	3.98	1.55	Watch
	5.8	3.9	1.53
	7.22	4.1	1.58	Watch
	7	3.95	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.93 ↑ (6.41)	3.95 ↑ (3.71)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezuela
13.8%

Draw
24.2%

Brazil
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

25.7%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Brazil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	5.7%	88.7%

Venezuela - Brazil Predictions

Users Predictions: Brazil will win (46 of 52 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 97.14%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) U. Catolica 4. Aramburu J. Real Sociedad 3. Angel W. Criciuma 14. Ramirez R. Cusco 15. Navarro M. Talleres Cordoba 6. Herrera Y. Girona 13. Martinez J. Corinthians 20. Bello E. Barcelona SC 7. Savarino J. Botafogo RJ 16. Murillo J. Atlas 23. Rondon S. (C) Pachuca	23. Ederson (G) Manchester City 13. Vanderson Monaco 4. Marquinhos (C) PSG 14. Gabriel Arsenal 16. Abner Lyon 15. Gerson Flamengo RJ 5. Guimaraes B. Newcastle Utd 20. Savinho Manchester City 10. Raphinha Barcelona 7. Vinicius Junior Real Madrid 9. Jesus I. Botafogo RJ
Substitutes
17. Andrade K. Fortaleza 12. Baroja A. (G) Always Ready 9. Cadiz J. Club Leon 18. Casseres C. Toulouse 1. Farinez W. (G) Caracas 2. Ferraresi N. Sao Paulo 21. Gonzalez A. Emelec 11. Machis D. Valladolid 5. Makoun C. Levski Sofia 19. Ramirez E. Tigre 8. Rincon T. Santos 10. Segovia T. Casa Pia	18. Andre Wolves 12. Bento (G) Al Nassr 2. Danilo Juventus 22. Estevao Palmeiras 3. Leo Ortiz Flamengo RJ 21. Luiz Henrique Botafogo RJ 11. Martinelli G. Arsenal 17. Murillo Nottingham 8. Paqueta L. West Ham 19. Pereira A. Fulham 1. Weverton (G) Palmeiras
Coaches
Batista F.	Junior D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Herrera Y. ↓, Casseres C. ↑,
34', Murillo J. 🟨,
36', Vanderson 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Raphinha ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Murillo J. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Segovia T. ⚽, Savarino J. (A),
59', Romo R. 🟨,
62', Vinicius Junior (Pen),
68', Savinho ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
68', Jesus I. ↓, Paqueta L. ↑,
69', Martinez J. ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
80', Bello E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
81', Rondon S. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
82', Casseres C. 🟨,
82', Guimaraes B. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
86', Segovia T. 🟨,
88', Martinelli G. 🟨,
89', Gonzalez A. 🟥,
90+2', Abner ↓, Estevao ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezuela won 0.

In this match Brazil is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Venezuela won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4:15 (average 0.5:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezuela
FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	Paraguay - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Venezuela - Argentina	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
05.09.24	Bolivia - Venezuela	4:0 ✺
Copa America
05.07.24	Venezuela - Canada	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTLL
- Brazil
FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	Brazil - Peru	4:0 ✺
10.10.24	Chile - Brazil	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Brazil - Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Copa America
06.07.24	Uruguay - Brazil	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
12.10.23	Brazil - Venezuela	1:1
07.10.21	Venezuela - Brazil	1:3
Copa America
13.06.21	Brazil - Venezuela	3:0
FIFA World Cup
13.11.20	Brazil - Venezuela	1:0
Copa America
18.06.19	Brazil - Venezuela	0:0
FIFA World Cup
11.10.16	Venezuela - Brazil	0:2
13.10.15	Brazil - Venezuela	3:1

Venezuela - Brazil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide