Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Ventforet Kofu		Buriram United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.28	3.53	2.19
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.2	3.46	2.17	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.65)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)	2.2 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
30.4%

Draw
27.2%

Buriram United
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buriram United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	6.2%	68.7%

Ventforet Kofu - Buriram United Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Buriram will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buriram: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Woud M. (C) 26. Sato K. 49. Inoue S. 23. Sekiguchi M. 13. Miura S. 29. Kamiya K. 16. Hayashida K. 15. Iijima R. 8. Taketomi K. 77. Getulio 99. Utaka P.	1. Tedsungnoen S. (C) 3. Hemviboon P. 11. Cools D. 92. Kim Min-Hyeok 2. Haiprakon S. 8. Maikami R. 5. Bunmathan T. 26. Doumbouya L. 20. Causic G. 10. Sheydayev R. 9. Jaided S.
Substitutes
30. Cristiano 10. Hasegawa M. 5. Hasukawa S. 40. Mancha E. 2. Matsuda R. 11. Matsumoto K. 19. Miyazaki J. 28. Mizuno H. 44. Naito Y. 71. Nakamura R. 4. Yamamoto H. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)	7. Cardoso N. 6. Chamratsamee P. 55. Inprakhon T. 4. James L. 25. Peenagatapho S. 95. Ratree S. 14. Tanklang C. 18. Teangdar Y. (G)
Coaches
Shinoda Y.	Papastamatis A.

Preview

Kofu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buriram is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kofu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Buriram will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
30.09.23	Ventforet Kofu - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Melbourne City - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
15.09.23	Ventforet Kofu - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Ventforet Kofu - Oita Trinita	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTTW
- Buriram United
Thai League 1
25.09.23	Police Tero - Buriram United	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Buriram United - Zhejiang Professional	4:1 ✺
Thai League 1
15.09.23	Buriram United - Trat	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Sukhothai - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Buriram United - Lamphun Warriors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

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