Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 27

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.99	4.91
	1.72	3.8	4.51	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.2
	1.7	3.84	4.35	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	3.79 ↓ (3.89)	4.49 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
54.9%

Draw
24.5%

Ventforet Kofu
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Shimizu S Pulse - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Kofu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 5. Kitazume K. 3. Takahashi Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 14. Yamahara R. 13. Miyamoto K. 36. Uno Z. 11. Lucas Braga 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos 23. Kitagawa K.	88. Shibuya T. (G) 23. Sekiguchi M. 16. Hayashida K. 41. Inoue M. 13. Murakami Y. 14. Nakayama R. 21. Renato 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 51. Adailton 99. Utaka P.
Substitutes
9. Aziz 4. Hasukawa S. 71. Nakamura R. 44. Nishihara M. 1. Oki Y. (G) 21. Yajima S. 28. Yoshida Y.	5. Imazu Y. 34. Kimura T. 6. Kobayashi I. 11. Macula 44. Naito Y. 8. Taketomi K. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)
Coaches
Akiba T.	Otsuka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Sekiguchi M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Carlinhos ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Utaka P. ↓, Macula ↑,
46', Nakayama R. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
48', Adailton 🟥,
52', Takahashi Y. ↓, Hasukawa S. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Lucas Braga ⚽,
60', Murakami Y. ↓, Taketomi K. ↑,
66', Renato ↓, Imazu Y. ↑,
73', Carlinhos ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
73', Miyamoto K. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
83', Lucas Braga ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
83', Kitagawa K. ↓, Aziz ↑,
86', Torikai Y. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Aziz ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 1.

Recent matches Shimizu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kofu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
10.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
03.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Reims	3:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Oita Trinita - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
10.08.24	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Cerezo Osaka - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
07.04.24	Ventforet Kofu - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1
24.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	0:0
01.04.23	Ventforet Kofu - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
11.07.18	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
Japan J League Cup
18.04.18	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
14.03.18	Ventforet Kofu - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0
Japan J1 League
09.09.17	Ventforet Kofu - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1

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