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Current Win Probability
Ventura County 42.5%
Draw 23.3%
Colorado Rapids 2 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
24.3%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
22.9%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Colorado Rapids 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colorado Rapids 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ventura County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids 2 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colorado Rapids 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ventura County - Colorado Rapids 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (G) 60. Hernandez S. 64. Pepe 73. Martinez E. 88. Vanney M. 49. Vanney D. 76. Elgersma T. 87. Arnold G. 50. Dalgado R. 57. Placias J. 95. Preston E.
71. Starks K. (G) 45. De Coteau J. 55. Gilmore G. 94. Rinaldi V. 56. Chan Tack J. 15. Fadal A. 39. Garcia L. 49. Tchoumba N. 47. Wathuta S. 32. Phillip D. 26. Diop M.
Substitutes
93. Aina O. 45. Garcia V. 61. Gozdieski C. 92. Luna I. 94. McLean M. 75. Medina A. 90. Phan B. 42. Rhodes J. (G) 83. Villatoro A.
44. Aquino C. 51. Campagnolo Z. (G) 65. De La Fuente J. 57. Garcia R. 37. Harper C. 18. Jamison B. 58. Strohmeyer L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Rinaldi V. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Placias J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tchoumba N. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
56', Vanney D. 🟨,
64', Phillip D. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
65', Pepe 🟨,
68', Fadal A. 🟨,
73', Arnold G. ↓, Phan B. ↑,
73', Preston E. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
74', Garcia L. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
77', De Coteau J. 🟨,
84', Rinaldi V. 🟨,
85', Elgersma T. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
90', Diop M. 🟥,
90+2', Fadal A. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Aquino C. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Medina A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Aquino C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Vanney M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Strohmeyer L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vanney D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Wathuta S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Luna I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Jamison B. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Pepe (Penalty Awarded),
5, Chan Tack J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Garcia V. (Penalty Awarded),
6, De Coteau J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
Recent performances by Ventura County have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Colorado Rapids 2 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ventura County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ventura County is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Ventura County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
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Conlon S. (G) 
Arnold G. 
De Coteau J. 
Fadal A. 
Garcia L. 
Wathuta S. 
Phillip D. 
Diop M. 
Garcia R. 
Harper C. 
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