The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventura County 31.5%
Draw 25.7%
Houston Dynamo 2 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
24.7%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
25.6%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ventura County's form might have worsened.
Houston Dynamo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dynamo 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ventura County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Houston Dynamo 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ventura County - Houston Dynamo 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (G) 88. Vanney M. 64. Pepe 60. Hernandez S. 50. Dalgado R. 87. Arnold G. 76. Elgersma T. 92. Luna I. 49. Vanney D. 95. Preston E. 57. Placias J.
1. Pedro Cruz (G) 3. Hata E. 14. Betancourt N. 30. Mwakutuya I. 12. Silva V. 22. Arana M. 8. Gustavo Dohmann 39. Mohammad S. 7. Brummett A. 33. Dimareli M. 9. Arthur Sousa
Substitutes
93. Aina O. 61. Gozdieski C. 94. McLean M. 75. Medina A. 90. Phan B. 42. Rhodes J. (G) 83. Villatoro A.
16. Alan 35. Erb L. (G) 19. Garcia D. 44. Gardner M. 17. Herrera D. 24. Jiana M. 27. Ramani F. 20. Wolff G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Betancourt N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Placias J. ⚽, Vanney D. (A),
53', 2 - 0, Arnold G. ⚽, Vanney D. (A),
57', Vanney D. 🟨,
57', Arana M. 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Vanney D. ⚽, Placias J. (A),
64', Dimareli M. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
64', Betancourt N. ↓, Wolff G. ↑,
66', Elgersma T. ↓, Phan B. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Silva V. ⚽,
74', Luna I. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
77', Placias J. 🟨,
77', Arthur Sousa ↓, Alan ↑,
84', Hata E. ↓, Gardner M. ↑,
85', Gustavo Dohmann ↓, Jiana M. ↑,
85', Mwakutuya I. 🟨,
90+1', Arnold G. ↓, Gozdieski C. ↑,
90+4', Dalgado R. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Ventura County has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
World
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Conlon S. (G) 
Arnold G. 
Pedro Cruz (G) 
Hata E. 
Arana M. 
Garcia D. 
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