The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventura County 54%
Draw 20.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
23.7%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
20.8%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
The chances for Vancouver Whitecaps 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ventura County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Ventura County - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (G) 88. Vanney M. 60. Hernandez S. (C) 73. Martinez E. 50. Dalgado R. 45. Garcia V. 49. Vanney D. 64. Pepe 92. Luna I. 57. Placias J. 95. Preston E.
60. Rogers S. (C) 58. Peace J. 54. Amponsah P. 43. Wright T. 48. Garnette M. 68. Tsuji Y. 46. Bruletti C. 72. Bejaoui A. 61. Rassak C. 45. Zuluaga Y. 51. Podgorni K.
Substitutes
93. Aina O. (G) 61. Gozdieski C. 94. McLean M. 75. Medina A. 42. Rhodes J. (G) 85. Rios E. 83. Villatoro A.
71. Badwal M. 64. Brown T. 70. Lodder T. 53. Mathe I. 47. Popovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Amponsah P. 🟨,
34', Zuluaga Y. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Luna I. ⚽, Placias J. (A),
45+1', Vanney D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Bejaoui A. ↓, Brown T. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Preston E. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Brown T. ⚽, Garnette M. (A),
77', Placias J. 🟨,
78', Podgorni K. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
87', Preston E. ↓, Gozdieski C. ↑,
87', Garcia V. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
90+4', Placias J. ↓, Aina O. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 3.
In recent matches, Ventura County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Whitecaps 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Whitecaps 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ventura County has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ventura County is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).
World
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Conlon S. (G) 
Peace J. 
Garnette M. 
Zuluaga Y. 
Rios E. 
Brown T. 
Popovic M. 
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