The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventura County 38%
Draw 24.5%
Minnesota United 2 37.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.2%
25.1%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
25.6%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Ventura County - Minnesota United 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (G) 88. Vanney M. 60. Hernandez S. (C) 73. Martinez E. 50. Dalgado R. 87. Arnold G. 90. Phan B. 45. Garcia V. 68. Muller L. 74. Ittycheria D. 57. Placias J.
98. Bite K. (G) 95. Vigilante S. 31. Dang N. (C) 97. Clarkson J. 33. Chandler K. 90. Pechota L. 92. Kabia A. 75. Cruz H. 36. Friedman J. 29. Dieng M. 17. Randell D.
Substitutes
61. Bank P. 80. Djieze J. 94. McLean M. 92. Nielsen N. 64. Pepe 96. Vanney C. 47. Vilamitjana A. 83. Villatoro A.
99. Adebayo-Smith J. 59. Farris J. 50. Harwood M. 39. Hille L. 46. Perkins K. (G) 32. Putt T. 38. Romanshyn K. 66. Schauf B. 35. Tarnue P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Ittycheria D. ⚽, Placias J. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Dalgado R. ⚽, Muller L. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Dieng M. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 2 - 2, Dieng M. ⚽, Vigilante S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Friedman J. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
71', Pechota L. ↓, Harwood M. ↑,
74', Arnold G. ↓, Vilamitjana A. ↑,
74', Garcia V. ↓, Djieze J. ↑,
77', Vigilante S. ↓, Tarnue P. ↑,
81', Dalgado R. ↓, Bank P. ↑,
88', Hernandez S. 🟨,
89', Kabia A. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Cruz H. ↓, Hille L. ↑,
92', Muller L. ↓, Pepe ↑,
96', 3 - 2, Vilamitjana A. ⚽, Djieze J. (A),
105', Ittycheria D. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
105', Clarkson J. ↓, Farris J. ↑,
Preview
In recent outings, Ventura County has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Minnesota 2 is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Recently, Ventura County has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ventura County has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Ventura County - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Minnesota United 2 - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.71%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.