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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 25.6%
Draw 22%
Minnesota United 2 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
23.9%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
22.8%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Monarchs's form might have worsened.
Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Monarchs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-19.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 88. Ream L. 64. Kropp D. 76. O'Gara L. 84. Sargis H. 48. Hashimoto R. 61. Amparo I. 46. Murphy I. 30. Anderson O. 47. Ewald F. 91. Lifferth Z.
94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 66. Schauf B. 35. Tarnue P. 97. Clarkson J. 90. Pechota L. 32. Putt T. 50. Harwood M. 38. Romanshyn K. 39. Hille L. (C) 95. Vigilante S. 99. Adebayo-Smith J.
Substitutes
99. Alphin R. (G) 71. Bwana H. 44. Cowell C. 50. Djiro L. 77. Mesalles R. 37. Rivera L. 35. Rocio D. 45. Silva N. 41. Villa G.
62. Bojang M. 75. Cruz H. 31. Dang N. 36. Friedman J. 51. Grulke C. 92. Kabia A. 17. Randell D. 54. Witte A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Clarkson J. 🟨,
63', Anderson O. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
63', O'Gara L. ↓, Mesalles R. ↑,
70', Sargis H. ↓, Villa G. ↑,
74', Adebayo-Smith J. ↓, Randell D. ↑,
74', Harwood M. ↓, Kabia A. ↑,
74', Schauf B. ↓, Dang N. ↑,
74', Putt T. ↓, Friedman J. ↑,
74', Romanshyn K. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
80', Hashimoto R. ↓, Bwana H. ↑,
80', Lifferth Z. ↓, Djiro L. ↑,
90+1', Murphy I. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Silva N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Hille L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mesalles R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Clarkson J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bwana H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Friedman J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Djiro L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Cruz H. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Amparo I. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 2.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.6:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Monarchs - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Minnesota United 2 - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.