The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventura County 46.7%
Draw 24%
North Texas 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
25.2%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
23.7%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Ventura County - North Texas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (G) 88. Vanney M. 60. Hernandez S. (C) 73. Martinez E. 50. Dalgado R. 90. Phan B. 45. Garcia V. 80. Djieze J. 68. Muller L. 95. Preston E. 57. Placias J.
13. Dymora E. (G) 29. Newman E. 26. Starnes S. (C) 22. Alvaro Augusto 53. Vejrostek L. 10. Nys E. 18. Ospina T. 19. Luccin M. 23. Sedeh S. 15. Louis R. 16. Simmonds N.
Substitutes
84. Chidebe I. 94. McLean M. 75. Medina A. 64. Pepe 96. Vanney C. 83. Villatoro A. 91. Walker W.
21. Flowers B. 25. Gibson J. 14. Goncalves L. 11. James N. 30. Kimbrough D. 56. Martinez D. (G) 32. Martins L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Placias J. ⚽, Preston E. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Preston E. ⚽, Dalgado R. (A),
40', 3 - 0, Placias J. ⚽, Preston E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sedeh S. ↓, James N. ↑,
46', Vejrostek L. ↓, Goncalves L. ↑,
51', 3 - 1, Simmonds N. ⚽,
52', 4 - 1, Preston E. ⚽, Placias J. (A),
61', Luccin M. 🟨,
63', Garcia V. ↓, Pepe ↑,
77', Djieze J. ↓, McLean M. ↑,
79', Preston E. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
81', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
86', 5 - 1, Villatoro A. ⚽,
88', Ospina T. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
88', Louis R. ↓, Flowers B. ↑,
88', Simmonds N. ↓, Kimbrough D. ↑,
90+2', 6 - 1, Muller L. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ventura County might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).