Match Info

3. Liga - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportclub Arena (Verl)

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Verl		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	2.8	Watch
	2.18	3.75	2.82
	2.13	4	3.07
	2.13	3.99	2.87	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.9
	2.15	3.9	2.87	Watch
	2.05	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.1)	3.86 ↓ (3.92)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
43.9%

Draw
24%

Rot-Weiß Essen
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

23.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

23.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Verl - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Verl (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 28. Otto Y. 8. Waidner D. 6. Eze J. 10. Taz B. 23. Besio A. 9. Arweiler J.	1. Golz J. (G) 37. Hofmann J. 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 33. Kraulich T. 19. Bouebari F. 28. Moustier T. 8. Gjasula K. 24. Mizuta K. 20. Janssen M. 26. Musel T.
Substitutes
21. Knost T. 3. Kohler E. 14. Lehmann P. 17. Mesanovic A. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 11. Steczyk D. 24. Stocker M. 18. Wessig F.	32. Bazzoli L. 14. Brumme L. 41. Gnagnon J. 18. Kaiser N. 29. Mause J. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Strobl T.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Janssen M. 🟨,
39', Schultz M. 🟨,
42', Arweiler J. 🟨,
45+3', Otto Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Otto F. 🟨,
56', Mizuta K. 🟨,
58', Otto Y. ↓, Wessig F. ↑,
61', Janssen M. ↓, Mause J. ↑,
71', Musel T. ↓, Brumme L. ↑,
71', Mizuta K. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
71', Arweiler J. ↓, Steczyk D. ↑,
77', Hofmann J. 🟨,
84', Gjasula K. 🟨,
88', Moustier T. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,
90+2', Besio A. ↓, Stocker M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Verl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Verl will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Verl won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Verl - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.19%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
06.12.25	TSV Havelse - Verl	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Verl - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	Viktoria Köln - Verl	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Verl - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Hansa Rostock - Verl	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWTT
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
05.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Energie Cottbus	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
28.03.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0
23.10.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	1:3
10.03.24	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1
07.10.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	0:5
27.05.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	2:2
21.01.23	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	4:4

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