Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Verl		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.7
	2.35	3.3	2.87
	2.28	3.45	2.8
	2.4	3.3	2.75
	2.46	3.65	2.84
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.36	3.48	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	2.79 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Verl
39.2%

Draw
27.6%

Zwickau
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

27.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Verl's form might have worsened.

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zwickau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Verl - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Zwickau will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Verl won 1.

Verl has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zwickau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Verl won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Verl won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
21.08.22	Oldenburg - Verl	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Verl - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
10.08.22	Dynamo Dresden - Verl	2:0 ✺
07.08.22	Verl - Waldhof Mannheim	2:2 ✺
23.07.22	Saarbrücken - Verl	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Elversberg - Zwickau	5:0 ✺
09.08.22	Zwickau - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	Meppen - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
24.07.22	Zwickau - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
29.03.22	Verl - Zwickau	0:0
11.09.21	Zwickau - Verl	1:3
05.03.21	Zwickau - Verl	3:0
19.01.21	Verl - Zwickau	1:1

Upcoming Matches