Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. José de Matos (Viana do Castelo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vianense		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.35	3.65
	1.85	3.4	3.7
	1.77	3.56	4.02	Watch
	1.85	3	3.7
	1.88	3.22	3.86
	2.28	3.2	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.23)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	3.63 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vianense
47.4%

Draw
27.6%

Rebordosa
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vianense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vianense's performance.

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebordosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vianense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebordosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vianense - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Vianense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rebordosa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vianense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vianense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Rebordosa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Last Results with these Odds

Vianense - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
23.05.26	Bragança - Vianense	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Vianense - Leça	3:4 ✺
10.05.26	Rebordosa - Vianense	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Vianense - Bragança	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Leça - Vianense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWL
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.05.26	Rebordosa - Leça	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Rebordosa - Bragança	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Rebordosa - Vianense	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Leça - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bragança - Rebordosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.05.26	Rebordosa - Vianense	0:3
06.04.25	Vianense - Rebordosa	0:1
15.12.24	Rebordosa - Vianense	1:0

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