Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Vibonese		Bari

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.75	1.46	Watch
	7	3.7	1.43
	6.8	3.5	1.44
	8.41	3.86	1.4
	7.5	3.5	1.44
	7.3	3.78	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.25 ↑ (4.74)	3.68 ↑ (3.61)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
12.5%

Draw
24.6%

Bari
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.6%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.7%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vibonese's form might have worsened.

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vibonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Vibonese - Bari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Vibonese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bari in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bari is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vibonese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vibonese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
16.03.22	Monopoli - Vibonese	3:0 ✺
13.03.22	Vibonese - Catania	1:2 ✺
09.03.22	Vibonese - Taranto	0:0 ✺
05.03.22	Palermo - Vibonese	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Vibonese - ACR Messina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
16.03.22	Bari - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Catanzaro - Bari	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Bari - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Foggia - Bari	2:2 ✺
22.02.22	Bari - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.11.21	Bari - Vibonese	2:0
03.04.21	Vibonese - Bari	0:1
13.12.20	Bari - Vibonese	0:0
03.11.19	Bari - Vibonese	2:2

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