Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Razza (Vibo Valentia)


	Vibonese		Catania

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.4	3.35	1.7
	4.39	3.33	1.73
	4.5	3.48	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (4.09)	3.37 ↑ (3.18)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
20.6%

Draw
26.8%

Catania
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.2%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

25.6%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Vibonese - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Winners stage).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vibonese won 0.

Recent matches Vibonese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Catania is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Catania is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Vibonese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Vibonese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.01.23	Castrovillari - Vibonese	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Licata - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Vibonese - San Luca	3:1 ✺
21.12.22	Vibonese - Ragusa	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Trapani - Vibonese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.01.23	Catania - Licata	4:1 ✺
15.01.23	San Luca - Catania	1:3 ✺
08.01.23	Catania - Ragusa	3:0 ✺
21.12.22	Catania - Trapani	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Catania	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
05.10.22	Catania - Vibonese	3:0
Italian Serie C Group C
13.03.22	Vibonese - Catania	1:2
10.11.21	Catania - Vibonese	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Vibonese - Catania	0:1 ET
Italian Serie C Group C
28.02.21	Vibonese - Catania	1:1
18.11.20	Catania - Vibonese	2:1
01.03.20	Catania - Vibonese	2:1

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