Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Bari		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.82	2.4	Watch
	3	2.82	2.52	Watch
	3.09	2.92	2.52	Watch
	3	2.7	2.5
	3.14	2.79	2.57	Watch
	3.2	2.83	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.89)	2.81 ↓ (2.89)	2.5 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
29.8%

Draw
33%

Juve Stabia
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	64.3%	14.3%

Bari - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 51. Cistana A. 25. Pucino R. 43. Nikolaou D. 30. Mane M. 29. Verreth M. 27. Braunoder M. 93. Dorval M. 18. Maggiore G. 16. Antonucci M. 9. Gytkjaer C.	1. Confente A. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 33. Giorgini A. 6. Bellich M. 11. Piscopo K. 4. Ruggero M. 8. Zeroli K. 37. Maistro F. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 27. Candellone L.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 3. Burgio R. 99. Cerri L. 32. Colangiuli V. 49. De Pieri G. 15. Kassama S. 12. Marfella D. (G) 13. Meroni A. 8. Pagano R. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 17. Rao E. 37. Stabile G.	15. Baldi M. 23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 77. Cacciamani A. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 14. Dalle Mura C. 76. Mannini M. 70. Matheu P. 98. Mosti N. 10. Pierobon C. 16. Signorini A. (G) 13. Varnier M.
Coaches
Vivarini V.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Candellone L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nikolaou D. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
46', Giorgini A. 🟨,
47', Zeroli K. 🟨,
49', Piscopo K. 🟨,
61', Antonucci M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
62', Maggiore G. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
62', Braunoder M. 🟨,
68', Zeroli K. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
68', Piscopo K. ↓, Cacciamani A. ↑,
69', Maistro F. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
74', Carissoni L. 🟨,
84', Carissoni L. ↓, Baldi M. ↑,
84', Pucino R. ↓, Meroni A. ↑,
86', Verreth M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
89', Bellich M. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.

Bari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Juve Stabia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Bari: Darboe E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Duca E. (Inactive) Gabrielloni A. (Inactive) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bari won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Bari - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Juve Stabia - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.29%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Carrarese - Bari	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Bari - Avellino	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Bari - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Bari - Pescara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTT
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Juve Stabia - Pescara	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Juve Stabia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Juve Stabia - Empoli	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Frosinone - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.12.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	0:0
09.02.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	3:1
17.08.24	Bari - Juve Stabia	1:3
Italian Serie C Group C
16.03.22	Bari - Juve Stabia	1:0
06.11.21	Juve Stabia - Bari	1:0
03.03.21	Juve Stabia - Bari	0:2
08.11.20	Bari - Juve Stabia	2:0

Bari - Juve Stabia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide