Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 25

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)


	Catania		Trapani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.8	8.75
	1.21	5.3	13.5	Watch
	1.19	5.82	17.28
	1.29	4.65	10.32	Watch
	1.2	4.8	15
	1.19	5.3	14.3	Watch
	1.25	5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	5.1 ↑ (4.02)	13.16 ↑ (7.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
74.9%

Draw
18.1%

Trapani
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

22.9%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

22.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Catania's performance.

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catania that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Catania - Trapani Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Catania (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Catania will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 5. Miceli M. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 30. Corbari A. 14. Quaini A. (C) 20. Donnarumma D. 99. D'Ausilio M. 23. Lunetta G. 32. Forte F.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 47. Morelli G. 23. Motoc A. 31. Pirrello R. 30. Nicoli S. 74. Marcolini D. 8. Celeghin E. 7. Ortisi P. 70. Forte R. 33. Benedetti A. (C) 77. Stauciuc B.
Substitutes
1. Bethers K. (G) 17. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Cargnelutti R. 12. Coco L. (G) 47. Di Noia G. 28. Doni S. 68. Ierardi M. 7. Jimenez K. 13. Ponsi F. 19. Raimo A. 9. Rolfini A.	20. Aronica G. 14. Battimelli G. 27. Cozzoli F. 80. Knezovic B. 17. La Sorsa C. 18. Matos 10. Napolitano L. 4. Nina C. 2. Perri M. 71. Quiroz G. 22. Salamone S. (G) 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 92. Winkelmann T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Pirrello R. (Own goal),
36', 2 - 0, Pieraccini S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Benedetti A. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
46', Stauciuc B. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
62', Forte F. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
62', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
63', Forte R. ↓, Matos ↑,
69', Donnarumma D. ↓, Ponsi F. ↑,
70', Lunetta G. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Jimenez K. ⚽,
78', Pieraccini S. ↓, Ierardi M. ↑,
78', Morelli G. ↓, Perri M. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Casasola T. ⚽,
89', Ortisi P. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 2.

Catania is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Trapani has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Catania is the clear favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Catania won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.26	Siracusa - Catania	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sorrento - Catania	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Monopoli - Catania	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLWW
- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.26	Giugliano - Trapani	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Trapani - Benevento	0:5 ✺
01.02.26	Trapani - Altamura	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Casertana - Trapani	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Trapani - Sorrento	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Trapani - Catania	1:1
30.03.25	Trapani - Catania	0:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.24	Catania - Trapani	0:5
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.24	Catania - Trapani	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.05.23	Trapani - Catania	1:0
21.12.22	Catania - Trapani	2:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
02.06.19	Trapani - Catania	1:1

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