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Current Win Probability
San Luca 13.7%
Draw 21.2%
Catania 65.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.3%
21.4%
65.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.6%
20.3%
68.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Luca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Winners stage).
San Luca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Catania is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
San Luca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Catania is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches San Luca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.