Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	Vibonese		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.25	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.4
	3.15	2.9	2.25
	2.68	3.14	2.58
	3.25	2.88	2.2
	3.36	2.96	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.95)	2.93 ↓ (3.12)	2.32 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
29.6%

Draw
31.1%

Virtus Francavilla
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

29%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.9%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vibonese's performance.

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Francavilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vibonese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vibonese - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Vibonese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Virtus Francavilla is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Vibonese won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Vibonese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Turris - Vibonese	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Vibonese - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
22.12.21	Picerno - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Catanzaro - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Vibonese - Avellino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLTL
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Virtus Francavilla - ACR Messina	5:1 ✺
22.12.21	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
11.12.21	Foggia - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.09.21	Virtus Francavilla - Vibonese	1:0
03.02.21	Vibonese - Virtus Francavilla	1:2
07.10.20	Virtus Francavilla - Vibonese	2:2
26.02.20	Vibonese - Virtus Francavilla	2:1
13.10.19	Virtus Francavilla - Vibonese	6:2
03.03.19	Virtus Francavilla - Vibonese	1:1
03.11.18	Vibonese - Virtus Francavilla	5:0

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