Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Monopoli		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.1
	1.8	3.4	4.33
	1.84	3.32	4.8
	1.81	3.32	4.8
	1.79	3.25	4.7
	1.72	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.72)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	4.54 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
51.7%

Draw
28%

Virtus Francavilla
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monopoli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dalmasso J. (G) 6. Fornasier M. 20. Bizzotto N. 4. Angileri A. 14. Viteritti O. 78. Iaccarino G. 19. De Risio C. 10. Borello G. 95. Barlocco L. 7. Sosa F. 39. Grandolfo F.	89. Branduani P. (G) 15. Dutu E. 5. Monteagudo J. C. 6. Gasbarro A. 7. Biondi K. 8. Di Marco T. 21. Risolo A. 30. Macca F. 50. Ingrosso G. 99. Garofalo V. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
11. Ardizzone F. 29. Arioli A. 2. Berman T. 33. Bulevardi D. 8. De Paoli A. 16. Ferrini M. 55. Gelmi L. (G) 27. Hamlili Z. 77. Peschetola L. 23. Simone G. 9. Tommasini C. 80. Vitale M.	40. Accardi A. 1. Carretta F. (G) 18. Contini G. 3. De Marino D. 19. Izzillo N. 27. Laaribi M. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 31. Magnati F. 14. Molnar I. 11. Neglia S. 23. Nicoli S. 29. Vapore A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', De Risio C. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Ingrosso G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Grandolfo F. ↓, Tommasini C. ↑,
46', Iaccarino G. ↓, Ardizzone F. ↑,
50', Ingrosso G. 🟨,
57', Macca F. 🟨,
70', Di Marco T. 🟨,
72', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
73', Di Marco T. 🟨,
75', Bizzotto N. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
81', Macca F. ↓, Laaribi M. ↑,
81', Ingrosso G. ↓, Nicoli S. ↑,
85', De Risio C. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
85', Sosa F. ↓, Berman T. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Tommasini C. ⚽,
90+1', Risolo A. ↓, Neglia S. ↑,
90+1', Dutu E. ↓, Carella F. ↑,
90+1', Garofalo V. ↓, Molnar I. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', Artistico G. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Monopoli is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Monopoli won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Monopoli - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Crotone - Monopoli	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Monopoli - Taranto	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Giugliano - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLLW
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	1:1
Italian Serie C Group C
26.02.24	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	0:0
20.10.23	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	3:0
26.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	2:0
27.11.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
04.05.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	0:0

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