Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 36

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Virtus Francavilla		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.77
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	4.35	3.12	1.82
	4	3.25	1.8
	4.1	3.58	1.78	Watch
	4	3.35	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (6.55)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	1.81 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
22.6%

Draw
27.3%

Catanzaro
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

28.2%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

27.2%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catanzaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catanzaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	23.1%	30.8%

Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Virtus Francavilla will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Francavilla: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Catanzaro is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Serie B

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 1.

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Catanzaro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Catanzaro is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
02.04.23	Pescara - Virtus Francavilla	4:1 ✺
26.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Taranto - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
15.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
02.04.23	Giugliano - Catanzaro	0:4 ✺
26.03.23	Catanzaro - Pescara	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Gelbison Cilento - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Catanzaro - Nuova Monterosi	3:0 ✺
13.03.23	Crotone - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	4:1
22.12.21	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	2:1
29.08.21	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	3:1
13.03.21	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
15.11.20	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	1:1
Coppa Italia
23.09.20	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.20	Virtus Francavilla - Catanzaro	4:0

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