Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 37

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Virtus Francavilla		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.1
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.47	3.01	2.25
	3.47	3.01	2.25
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.45	3.08	2.14
	3.25	2.95	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.74)	3.01 ↓ (3.46)	2.17 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
27.2%

Draw
30.5%

Juve Stabia
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.7%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

26%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juve Stabia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juve Stabia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Branduani P. (G) 5. Monteagudo J. C. 15. Dutu E. 6. Gasbarro A. 8. Di Marco T. 30. Macca F. 19. Izzillo N. 27. Laaribi M. 7. Biondi K. 9. Artistico G. 11. Neglia S.	32. Esposito M. (G) 13. Baldi M. 23. Folino F. 6. Bellich M. 26. D'Amore F. 25. Gerbo A. 55. Leone G. 10. Pierobon C. 98. Mosti N. 11. Piscopo K. 99. Piovanello E.
Substitutes
40. Accardi A. 70. Cardoselli C. 1. Carretta F. (G) 18. Contini G. 99. Garofalo V. 50. Ingrosso G. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 14. Molnar I. 23. Nicoli S. 10. Polidori A. 21. Risolo A.	9. Adorante A. 28. Andreoni C. 8. Buglio D. 27. Candellone L. 33. Erradi B. 18. Garau O. 17. Guarracino M. 3. La Rosa A. 70. Marranzino P. 14. Meli M. 19. Mignanelli D. 44. Picardi M. 7. Romeo F. 1. Signorini A. (G) 91. Stanga L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Leone G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Gerbo A. ↓, Guarracino M. ↑,
69', Di Marco T. ↓, Ingrosso G. ↑,
69', Neglia S. ↓, Polidori A. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Gasbarro A. ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, Guarracino M. ⚽,
80', Macca F. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
81', Piovanello E. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,
81', Mosti N. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
90+1', Pierobon C. ↓, Garau O. ↑,
90+1', Piscopo K. ↓, Picardi M. ↑,
90+1', Izzillo N. ↓, Contini G. ↑,
90+4', D'Amore F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Virtus Francavilla is Serie C ~ Group A

Juve Stabia is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Juve Stabia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
14.04.24	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Città di Brindisi - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Virtus Francavilla - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Casertana - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie C Group C
15.04.24	Juve Stabia - Crotone	1:1 ✺
08.04.24	Benevento - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Juve Stabia - ACR Messina	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	Sorrento - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Foggia - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
16.12.23	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	3:0
15.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia	3:1
13.11.22	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	2:0
24.04.22	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	4:0
19.12.21	Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia	3:0
07.02.21	Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia	0:1
11.10.20	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	2:1

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