Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 19

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday


	Vicenza Virtus		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.2	8.75
	1.33	4.5	9.5	Watch
	1.36	4.3	10.97
	1.37	4.3	10.97
	1.25	4.5	11
	1.27	4.5	11
	1.31	4.3	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.57)	4.37 ↑ (3.5)	10.26 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
70%

Draw
21%

Alessandria
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

26.2%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

25.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vicenza Virtus's performance.

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alessandria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vicenza Virtus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vicenza Virtus - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Confente A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 55. Golemic V. 23. Laezza G. 16. De Col F. 8. Cavion M. 7. Proia F. 10. Ronaldo 5. Costa F. 19. Pellegrini J. 9. Ferrari F.	1. Liverani L. (C) 8. Rota A. 31. Ercolani L. 17. Gega E. 72. Vaughn C. 66. Sepe A. 24. Mastalli A. 14. Pellitteri A. 3. Rossi E. 18. Pellegrini L. 9. Siafa O.
Substitutes
1. Brzan R. (G) 4. De Maio S. 76. Fantoni N. 20. Jimenez K. 33. Lattanzio A. . Rossi F. 73. Sandon T. 22. Siviero L. (G) 44. Talarico R. 18. Tronchin S. 24. Valietti F.	11. Anatriello G. 13. Bello 80. De Ponti O. 30. Gueli D. 26. Mame Ass N. 53. Molinaro S. 16. Parrinello T. 12. Piana E. (G) 86. Rimbu C. (G) 90. Volpe M.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

The competitors look crappy now.

Vicenza Virtus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vicenza Virtus is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vicenza Virtus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.23	Trento - Vicenza Virtus	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
13.12.23	Vicenza Virtus - Rimini	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.23	Vicenza Virtus - Mantova	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLTW
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.23	Alessandria - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
08.12.23	Pro Patria - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Alessandria - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Pro Vercelli - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Alessandria - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.05.22	Alessandria - Vicenza Virtus	0:1
30.01.22	Vicenza Virtus - Alessandria	2:1

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