Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 17

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday


	Vicenza Virtus		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2	3.34	3.72
	2.01	3.34	3.72
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.24	3.56
	1.96	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.65)	3.25 ↑ (2.95)	3.64 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
46.8%

Draw
28.1%

Mantova
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vicenza Virtus's performance.

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mantova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vicenza Virtus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Vicenza Virtus - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vicenza: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Massolo S. (G) 44. Talarico R. 55. Golemic V. 23. Laezza G. 68. Ierardi M. 7. Proia F. 10. Ronaldo 20. Jimenez K. 32. Costa F. 99. Della Morte M. 9. Ferrari F.	1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 5. Redolfi A. 13. Brignani F. 23. Panizzi E. 28. Muroni M. 8. Burrai S. 21. Trimboli S. 14. Galuppini F. 7. Mensah D. 11. Fiori A.
Substitutes
8. Cavion M. 98. Confente A. (G) 26. De Col F. 4. De Maio S. 76. Fantoni N. 15. Greco J. 33. Lattanzio A. 19. Pellegrini J. 11. Rolfini A. 5. Rossi F. 73. Sandon T. 22. Siviero L. (G) 18. Tronchin S. 24. Valietti F.	24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 25. Castellani A. 16. Cavalli T. 4. Celesia C. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. (G) 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E. 10. Wieser D.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Mantova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vicenza Virtus will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Vicenza Virtus won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.23	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
25.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Legnago Salus - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWLW
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.23	Mantova - Renate	4:1 ✺
24.11.23	Atalanta U23 - Mantova	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Mantova - Trento	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Fiorenzuola - Mantova	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Mantova - Pergolettese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.02.23	Mantova - Vicenza Virtus	2:6
20.10.22	Vicenza Virtus - Mantova	2:1
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Vicenza Virtus - Mantova	1:1

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