The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Novara 20.7%
Draw 29.1%
Vicenza Virtus 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
27.3%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
26.9%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.
Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vicenza Virtus's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Novara - Vicenza Virtus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 26. Lorenzini F. 6. Citi A. 15. Khailoti O. 8. Di Cosmo L. 17. Dell'Erba D. 99. Basso G. 72. Agyemang G. 10. Donadio C. 9. Alberti T. 7. Lanini E.
16. Gagno R. (G) 33. Vescovi M. 14. Leverbe M. 6. Cuomo G. 19. Tribuzzi A. 8. Cavion M. 24. Alessio F. 4. Carraro M. 32. Costa F. 9. Morra C. 11. Stuckler D.
Substitutes
36. Arboscello R. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 27. Deseri G. 25. Foti 3. Lartey S. 11. Ledonne N. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 12. Rossetti M. (G) 70. Valdesi A.
22. Bianchi G. (G) 28. Caferri L. 10. Capello A. 21. Cester S. 76. Fantoni N. 12. Massolo S. (G) 26. Pellizzari G. 77. Rada A. 7. Rauti N. 44. Talarico R. 99. Vitale M. 29. Zonta L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Morra C. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Alberti T. ⚽,
35', Costa F. 🟨,
41', Dell'Erba D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Stuckler D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Stuckler D. 🟨,
60', Costa F. 🟨,
64', Tribuzzi A. ↓, Caferri L. ↑,
65', Alessio F. ↓, Zonta L. ↑,
74', Stuckler D. ↓, Rauti N. ↑,
77', Dell'Erba D. ↓, Valdesi A. ↑,
77', Alberti T. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
82', Donadio C. ↓, Ledonne N. ↑,
85', Cavion M. ↓, Pellizzari G. ↑,
85', Morra C. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
88', Citi A. ↓, Foti ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Lanini E. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1.
Novara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vicenza Virtus is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Vicenza Virtus is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Italy
Watch
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Boseggia E. (G) 
Khailoti O. 
Dell'Erba D. 
Leverbe M. 
Stuckler D. 
Lartey S. 
Rada A. 
