Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 14

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Alessandria		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.85	2.55
	2.65	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.71	2.88	2.94
	2.72	2.86	2.94
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.56	2.96	2.68
	2.6	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.3)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
35.2%

Draw
31.5%

Giana Erminio
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Alessandria - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liverani L. (G) 31. Ercolani L. 8. Rota A. 17. Gega E. 23. Ciancio S. 66. Sepe A. 4. Nichetti M. 28. Foresta G. 21. Nunzella L. 9. Siafa O. 7. Gazoul M.	1. Pirola C. (G) 26. Previtali N. 4. Ferrante L. 73. Minotti G. 23. Caferri L. 8. Ballabio M. 24. Franzoni A. 14. Marotta M. 3. Groppelli F. 9. Fumagalli T. 17. Fall M.
Substitutes
11. Anatriello G. 6. Belgiovine D. 5. Gentile F. 26. Mame Ass N. 24. Mastalli A. 53. Molinaro S. 10. Pagliuca M. 18. Pellegrini L. 14. Pellitteri A. 15. Ronci A. 72. Vaughn C. 22. Virano R. (G)	30. Barzotti M. 2. Boafo T. 27. Corno L. 19. Francolini M. 70. Gotti M. 20. Lamesta A. 12. Magni S. (G) 21. Messaggi C. 10. Perna F. 77. Piazza A. 90. Verde F.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
12.11.23	Renate - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Virtus Entella - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
04.11.23	Alessandria - Triestina	0:3 ✺
31.10.23	Alessandria - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Trento - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLLWT
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.23	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
04.11.23	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Giana Erminio - Pro Sesto	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.21	Alessandria - Giana Erminio	0:0
18.10.20	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	1:1
09.02.20	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	2:1
26.09.19	Alessandria - Giana Erminio	4:0
Coppa Italia
29.07.18	Alessandria - Giana Erminio	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
17.03.18	Alessandria - Giana Erminio	2:2
29.10.17	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	2:2

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