Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Vicenza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:00	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	19:00	OneFootball TV


	Vicenza Virtus		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.20	1.96	Watch
	3.40	3.50	2.00
	3.25	3.50	2.10	Watch
	3.76	3.56	2.07
	3.66	3.4	2.01	Watch
	3.70	3.50	2.03
	3.73	3.31	2.07	Watch
	3.40	3.35	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.91)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
26.3%

Draw
27.5%

Modena
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vicenza Virtus's form might have worsened.

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Modena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Vicenza Virtus - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Modena will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Gagno R. (G) 66. Papetti A. 23. Brighenti N. (C) 5. Marchizza R. 28. Caferri L. 26. Pellizzari G. 8. Bellemo A. 10. Valoti M. 21. Corazza T. 7. Rauti N. 33. Merkaj S.	1. Chichizola L. (C) 7. Zampano F. 23. Folino F. 6. Nador S. 20. Nieling B. 8. Santoro S. 42. Bianco A. 72. Olzer G. 70. Ambrosino G. 10. Caso G. 11. Belotti A.
Substitutes
24. Alessio F. 68. Bagheria F. (G) 4. Carraro M. 32. Costa F. 11. Moncini G. 9. Morra C. 99. Pietrelli A. 77. Rada A. 27. Sandon T. 44. Talarico R. 30. Vescovi M. 29. Zonta L.	32. Acquah W. 28. Adorni D. 27. Azzi P. 29. Bacchin L. 17. Bozhanaj K. 16. Brugman G. 22. Consiglio L. (G) 37. Egharevba T. 26. Imputato A. 25. Laidani A. (G) 9. Montevago D. 15. Odero M.
Coaches
Gallo F.	Galloppa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Nieling B. (Own goal),
17', 1 - 1, Belotti A. ⚽, Caso G. (A),
19', Brighenti N. 🟨,
36', Zampano F. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Caso G. ↓, Brugman G. ↑,
62', Bellemo A. 🟨,
64', Folino F. 🟨,
69', Valoti M. 🟨,
71', Rauti N. ↓, Morra C. ↑,
71', Pellizzari G. ↓, Zonta L. ↑,
76', Valoti M. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
84', Corazza T. 🟨,
84', Corazza T. ↓, Sandon T. ↑,
88', Belotti A. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
88', Olzer G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Ambrosino G. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals).

Vicenza has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Modena is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Modena may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Modena holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Vicenza: Cuomo G. (Inactive) Tsadjout F. (Surgery).

Confirmed absences for Modena: Manquant J. (Knee Injury) Sersanti A. (Knee Injury) Stenio (Inactive).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vicenza has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vicenza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Modena	9	6	1	2	17:9	8	19
16	L.R. Vicenza	9	2	3	4	12:17	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Modena - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
23.10.26	Empoli - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Benevento - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Vicenza Virtus - Pisa	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Verona - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Vicenza Virtus - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Modena - Cesena	3:0 ✺
17.10.26	Carrarese - Modena	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Modena - Verona	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
22.01.20	Vicenza Virtus - Modena	1:0
25.08.19	Modena - Vicenza Virtus	0:0

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